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wildgarlic

Are climate change predictions are 'too optimistic'?

Quote:
New CO2 evidence means climate change predictions are 'too optimistic'
Lewis Smith, Environment Reporter

Carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are increasing much faster and will be harder to control than scientists have predicted, a study has found.

An international team of researchers has found that, since 2000, the rate at which CO2 has been pumped into the atmosphere is 35 per cent greater than most climate change models have allowed for.

The conclusions have serious implications for forecasts of how much and how quickly the world’s temperature will rise and mean that global warming will be harder and more expensive to control than feared. The results also mean that international efforts to bring CO2 emissions under control will need to be more far-reaching.

Professor Nicholas Owens, of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS), said that the findings were so worrying that they made previous widely accepted forecasts of climate change seem unduly optimistic.


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Martin

in a word - "yes"
There is no sign anywhere of governments taking this seriously - they all seem to be living in that strange cloud cuckoo land where atom power will solve all our prioblems, technology will do the rest and nothing has to change........if substantial steps are not taken soon, mankind will die out - that simple!
Ina

But that's not new: George Monbiot (yes, him again!) says that in "Heat"; he cites scientists who "predict" not what they know will happen, but what they think they might just get away with, politically. Anything to prevent the general public from panicking!
Martin

Monbiot is a good bloke, and no fool!
wildgarlic

Martin wrote:
Monbiot is a good bloke, and no fool!


http://www.monbiot.com/
Ina

Arghhh - even more to read!
Martin

know what you mean, been reading article after article..........
I do wish government would listen to the bloke!
from one of his articles -
"But our governments appear quietly to have abandoned their aim of preventing dangerous climate change. If so, they condemn millions to death. What the IPCC report shows is that we have to stop treating climate change as an urgent issue. We have to start treating it as an international emergency"
Ina

Yeah - I think "heat" should be compulsory reading... Bought 4 copies of it in German (which was all amazon had left!), and have equipped my family and friends with it while on holiday!
And folk were wondering why I was going to Germany by bus... But quite honestly, I couldn't be bothered to discuss this with my fellow passengers. At a guess, at least 95% took the bus purely for financial reasons (most of the others because they were afraid of flying) - and none of them went as far as I did; I was the only one who spent two nights traveling. But I think that's how it should be, if I do insist on going that far, just for pleasure.
Martin

I agree - tried flying once in the 70's, thought it was the most appalling way to travel ever invented, so haven't bothered since!
We usually "holiday" in the UK, but have found trips to the continent by ferry and train easy, a smashing way to see the country, and meet the people! 8)
It hasn't inconvenienced me one jot or tittle not flying, why on earth should anyone else grizzle about not being able to take pleasure flights.......?
People go on about flying as if it's some bally god-given RIGHT....unfortunately, if they claim that right, they bang extra nails in mankind's coffin :?
Ina

Last time I flew was when my father died; and I think if everybody restricted themselves to urgent and necessary flights like that, we could still all have the right to fly in emergencies. Must say, I find train travel really too expensive... Much more comfortable, of course.
Martin

I can (just) remember the 50's and 60's -nobody flew anywhere - we still had damn good holidays, and noone felt themselves hard done by!
I'm not generally in favour of nationalised industries, but rail should be state-owned and run (properly), and affordably.........
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